Colchester United vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
BRI
1 - 2
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
STO
1 - 1
COL
50%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
COL
0 - 2
BPO
39%
27%
35%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
WIG
2 - 1
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
COL
1 - 2
CRE
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
3 - 2
NOT
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2003 |
MAN
0 - 0
BRE
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
PLY
3 - 1
MAN
59%
23%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2003 |
MAN
1 - 2
WIG
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 2
MAN
47%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |