EFL Cup 1/64
Global 1-2
Colchester United vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
BAR
2 - 4
COL
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
COL
0 - 0
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1997 |
HUL
1 - 2
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
COL
3 - 1
SWA
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 1997 |
WIG
1 - 0
COL
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
BPO
1 - 0
LUT
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
LUT
1 - 1
STO
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
POS
0 - 1
LUT
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1997 |
LUT
0 - 0
BCF
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
LUT
2 - 0
STF
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |