Colchester United vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NTT
1 - 0
COL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
COL
1 - 1
BRE
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
SCU
0 - 0
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
DON
0 - 0
COL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
COL
1 - 0
SWI
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 1
HAR
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 1
OLD
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
SOU
3 - 0
HAR
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
SCU
2 - 0
HAR
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -2 |