Colchester United vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
MKD
29%
25%
45%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
REA
15%
19%
66%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 2
COL
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
COL
6 - 0
CAM
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 1
COL
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STA
3 - 3
TOW
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 2
TOW
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 2
BRO
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DAR
0 - 0
TOW
17%
20%
63%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
TOW
0 - 0
MID
11%
16%
72%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |