Colchester United vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
YEO
0 - 1
COL
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
GRI
2 - 2
COL
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
WYC
46%
25%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 1
COL
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
COL
1 - 1
CHE
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BBU
1 - 0
GIL
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
GIL
0 - 0
SCU
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 0
GIL
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GIL
1 - 0
CHA
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 1
GIL
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |