Colchester United vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 0
COL
43%
26%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
STE
0 - 2
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
COL
2 - 0
YEO
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
COL
1 - 5
TRA
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SHE
3 - 0
COL
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CRE
1 - 2
OPA
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 0
CRE
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
COV
1 - 2
CRE
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
CRE
1 - 2
BOU
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NOT
1 - 1
CRE
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |