Colchester United vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
TRA
0 - 0
COL
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
COL
2 - 1
WRE
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
POR
3 - 1
COL
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2001 |
NOR
2 - 3
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
COL
3 - 3
HUR
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
CHE
4 - 2
OLD
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
CHE
2 - 1
NOT
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2001 |
BHA
2 - 2
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2001 |
SOU
2 - 0
CHE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
CHE
2 - 3
QPR
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |