Colchester United vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
CHE
2 - 1
COL
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
COL
2 - 1
POS
54%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
COL
3 - 2
STO
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
SHW
0 - 3
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
PLY
2 - 0
COL
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SWA
1 - 1
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 2
LEY
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
CHE
0 - 2
SCU
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
SOU
0 - 2
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 1
HUR
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |