Colchester United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SHE
1 - 1
COL
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 5
POS
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
GIL
0 - 1
COL
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CUM
0 - 2
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CUM
0 - 4
COV
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BRA
4 - 0
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
CUM
3 - 3
BBU
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
CUM
1 - 5
LEY
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CUM
0 - 2
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |