Colchester United vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
COL
0 - 1
SWI
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CUM
1 - 0
COL
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
COL
1 - 5
MKD
32%
26%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 4
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
TRA
0 - 0
COL
47%
27%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 0
PNE
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 4
BCF
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BCF
0 - 2
CRA
38%
26%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
OLD
0 - 2
BCF
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BCF
1 - 2
STE
39%
28%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |