Colchester United vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
YEO
4 - 2
COL
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
BHA
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 1
COL
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CUM
4 - 1
COL
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
COL
1 - 0
ROC
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 1
SHW
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 1
BRO
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BRO
2 - 2
CHA
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
BRO
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BRO
0 - 2
EXE
37%
26%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |