Colchester United vs Bradford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
COL
3 - 2
LEY
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BOU
1 - 2
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
COL
2 - 1
NOT
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
OLD
0 - 0
COL
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
COL
0 - 3
HUR
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bradford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
BCF
0 - 1
BRA
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
5 - 0
OXF
34%
29%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
BUR
3 - 0
BRA
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 1
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 2
BRA
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |