Colchester United U18 vs Wigan Athletic U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
13º
21º
21º
12
1º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
10º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 62 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 61 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
15 | 59 |
4º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 57 |
5º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 56 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 55 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 49 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 45 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 44 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 44 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 44 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 37 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
19º
|
4 | 36 |
15º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 35 |
16º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 35 |
17º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 32 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 32 |
19º
|
11% | |
|
20º
|
3 | 25 |
20º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
21º
|
3 | 22 |
21º
|
21.5% | |
|
22º
|
2 | 18 |
22º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FLT
3 - 2
COL
35%
20%
45%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
COL
4 - 2
COV
68%
16%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PET
3 - 1
COL
41%
21%
39%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
HUL
1 - 1
COL
44%
21%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
COL
4 - 2
SWA
33%
21%
46%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
4 - 0
WAT
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BRE
5 - 2
WAT
49%
21%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
5 - 1
QPR
47%
21%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 0
SWA
31%
22%
46%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 3
BAR
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |