Colchagua vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SAU
3 - 1
CHG
41%
28%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CHG
1 - 1
LOT
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 1
CHG
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CHG
2 - 1
BAR
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 2
CHG
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NTA
0 - 0
MAL
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NTA
2 - 2
DSC
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 2
NTA
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
PIN
3 - 1
NTA
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAU
2 - 1
NTA
44%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |