Copa Chile 1/64
Global 4-5
Colchagua vs Municipal Puente Alto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ACC
1 - 2
CHG
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHG
2 - 1
CDC
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CIU
2 - 0
CHG
9%
15%
76%
|
44 | 8 | 36 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SCF
1 - 0
CHG
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHG
1 - 4
CDS
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Municipal Puente Alto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MEJ
1 - 1
MPA
60%
19%
21%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MPA
0 - 2
CHI
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ACC
3 - 1
MPA
75%
16%
10%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
OVA
4 - 1
MPA
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MPA
0 - 2
DUC
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |