Colchagua vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LIM
2 - 4
CHG
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CHG
2 - 1
TAL
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CHG
2 - 1
DSC
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
3 - 3
CHG
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CHG
2 - 0
CAU
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
LOT
1 - 2
DCO
33%
28%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
COQ
1 - 1
LOT
67%
20%
14%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
LOT
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LOT
0 - 2
CSD
35%
27%
37%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
LOT
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |