Colchagua vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
ACC
4 - 1
CHG
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 2
CHG
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CHG
2 - 0
ROD
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SAU
2 - 1
CHG
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CHG
1 - 2
IBE
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
LIM
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
SAU
1 - 2
DER
30%
26%
45%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
IBE
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
DER
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
VAL
63%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |