Coimbrões vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
13º
12º
26
1º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 56 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 49 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 45 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 37 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 36 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 35 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 34 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 20 |
13º
|
75% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 11 |
14º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coimbrões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 2
COI
13%
18%
69%
|
26 | 7 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
COI
0 - 3
SAL
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
COI
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
COI
0 - 4
SAL
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
COI
2 - 1
GON
23%
24%
53%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 0
MAC
43%
23%
35%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
3%
8%
89%
|
30 | 74 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
BMA
16%
23%
61%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAC
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |