Cognac vs Niort II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
COG
3 - 4
BAY
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 2
COG
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
COG
1 - 0
GDB
18%
20%
62%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
6 - 1
COG
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
COG
2 - 2
LEG
20%
20%
59%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Niort II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
NIO
2 - 1
CNF
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NIO
2 - 3
CHA
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
POI
3 - 0
NIO
59%
21%
19%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
NIO
3 - 0
BAY
56%
23%
22%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
NIO
46%
25%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |