CODM Meknes vs Maghreb Fes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
26.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
5º
15º
15º
4
2º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
6 | 10 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 10 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 10 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 8 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 8 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 8 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 7 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 7 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 7 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 7 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 7 |
11º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 6 |
12º
|
3% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 5 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 4 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
|
14º
|
1 | 4 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 3 |
16º
|
47.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
36.5% | 72% |
|
Relegation
|
63.5% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CODM Meknes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FAR
4 - 0
MEK
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MEK
0 - 2
CCR
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MEK
1 - 1
RKZ
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
MEK
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -4 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MEK
3 - 0
JSM
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Maghreb Fes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MOG
1 - 1
MAG
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 2
UTS
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 0
WYD
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 2
FAR
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 1
OLY
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |