Cobresal vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
16º
12º
24
3º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 53 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 50 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 49 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 48 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 46 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 41 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 38 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 35 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 31 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 29 |
15º
|
27% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 29 |
16º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 23.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
10% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
CSL
39%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CSL
4 - 3
UCH
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
OHI
0 - 0
CSL
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CSL
3 - 4
ACS
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CUR
1 - 2
CSL
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 3
COL
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CSD
5 - 3
UNI
13%
18%
69%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 4
UCH
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
CSL
39%
26%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
COL
0 - 2
UNI
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |