Copa Chile Last 16
Global 4-0
Cobresal vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobresal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
EVE
1 - 1
CSL
55%
23%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CSL
0 - 0
EVE
35%
24%
42%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSL
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
CSL
1 - 0
SWA
43%
25%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CDM
2 - 0
CSL
24%
26%
51%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
NUB
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
NUB
2 - 0
COL
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
NUB
2 - 1
MAG
49%
26%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
DCO
2 - 1
NUB
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NUB
5 - 0
COB
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |