Copa Chile 1/16
Global 1-0
Cobreloa vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
23.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
COB
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BAC
0 - 3
COB
5%
12%
83%
|
66 | 7 | 59 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
COB
0 - 4
OHI
37%
27%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UCO
4 - 1
COB
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COB
2 - 2
IQU
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
COB
36%
25%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 4
SAN
5%
11%
84%
|
61 | 7 | 54 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
USF
0 - 2
SAN
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 3
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +2 |