Cobreloa vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
5 - 1
COB
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
COB
1 - 2
SWA
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 2
COB
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ANT
1 - 1
COB
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
COB
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
UNI
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
NUB
2 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
IQU
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
COL
25%
25%
51%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
IQU
0 - 2
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |