Cobreloa vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
COB
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
UCO
3 - 1
COB
56%
22%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
COB
0 - 2
NUB
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
UCH
1 - 1
COB
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
COB
3 - 3
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
COL
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SWA
3 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
9%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
ULC
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OHI
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
7%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
UNI
17%
23%
61%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |