Copa Chile 1/32
Global 7-1
Cobreloa vs Provincial Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OVA
1 - 4
COB
10%
16%
75%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
COB
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
COB
0 - 1
USF
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CDM
3 - 0
COB
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
COB
2 - 1
DLS
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
OVA
1 - 4
COB
10%
16%
75%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
OVA
0 - 1
RAS
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MEJ
1 - 2
OVA
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ACC
5 - 2
OVA
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
OVA
3 - 3
JOA
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |