Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 2-0
Cobreloa vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
39.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
COB
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
COB
1 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
COB
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
IQU
0 - 1
COB
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
COB
3 - 3
IQU
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 3
PEÑ
38%
25%
38%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
LFC
0 - 4
PEÑ
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 5
PEÑ
16%
21%
63%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
MWA
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
PRO
76%
17%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |