Cobreloa vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1981 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
COB
80%
13%
8%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 2
COB
72%
17%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1981 |
COB
6 - 1
SPC
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1981 |
COB
6 - 1
ATL
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1981 |
COB
1 - 0
UCH
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
62%
24%
14%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1981 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
COB
80%
13%
8%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1981 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
EST
76%
15%
10%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
POR
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |