Copa Libertadores Final
Global 2-4
Cobreloa vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1981 |
FLA
2 - 1
COB
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
COB
2 - 2
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
COB
4 - 2
PEÑ
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1981 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
COB
80%
13%
8%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1981 |
NAC
1 - 2
COB
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1981 |
FLA
2 - 1
COB
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1981 |
FLA
4 - 1
JWI
85%
10%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1981 |
FLA
3 - 0
CAL
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1981 |
JWI
1 - 2
FLA
31%
28%
41%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1981 |
CAL
0 - 1
FLA
40%
27%
33%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |