Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-0
Cobreloa vs Dep. Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
QUI
0 - 0
COB
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
COB
2 - 2
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
COB
31%
32%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1989 |
AME
0 - 0
COB
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
COB
2 - 0
OLI
77%
14%
10%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
QUI
0 - 0
COB
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
MIL
3 - 1
QUI
64%
19%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
2 - 1
QUI
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1989 |
QUI
1 - 0
EME
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
QUI
0 - 0
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |