Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-3
Cobreloa vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
CCP
1 - 1
COB
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
COB
1 - 1
BOL
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
COB
2 - 1
SAN
80%
13%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1993 |
UCO
1 - 1
COB
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1993 |
SAN
2 - 3
COB
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
CCP
1 - 1
COB
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
NOB
1 - 2
CCP
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
RIV
1 - 1
CCP
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1993 |
CCP
2 - 1
RIV
34%
31%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |