Cobreloa vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
CSD
0 - 2
COB
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
COB
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
COB
3 - 0
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 1
COB
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
COQ
3 - 3
COB
19%
26%
55%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 1
BOL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
COB
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ALI
2 - 0
CAU
71%
18%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
LIG
3 - 0
ALI
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |