Cobreloa vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
COB
2 - 1
HUA
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
COB
2 - 3
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
DEP
3 - 1
COB
24%
27%
49%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2003 |
GLP
0 - 0
COB
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
COB
2 - 0
PUE
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ALI
0 - 0
CIE
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
ALI
1 - 1
GLP
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SBO
2 - 2
ALI
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2003 |
OLI
0 - 1
ALI
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ALI
3 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |