Coatepeque vs Zacapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
1º
12º
12º
22
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coatepeque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MIX
3 - 0
COA
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 0
COA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
COA
0 - 1
GUA
42%
30%
29%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
COA
0 - 0
CHI
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
COM
5 - 0
COA
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Zacapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 1
COB
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ZAC
0 - 1
XIN
32%
28%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MUN
4 - 2
ZAC
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 1
ANT
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 1
ZAC
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |