Coastal Spirit vs Universities AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
+206%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
5º
2º
11
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
COA
3 - 1
CAS
11%
15%
75%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 7
COA
9%
13%
78%
|
22 | 5 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COA
2 - 1
DUN
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COA
3 - 0
FCT
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 5 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 3
COA
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
UOC
68%
18%
15%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 1
NOM
12%
16%
72%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 6
UOC
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WMK
0 - 1
UOC
62%
19%
19%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 7
CAS
4%
8%
88%
|
5 | 37 | 32 | 0 |