Coastal Spirit vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
14.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
5º
2º
29
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
2 - 5
COA
11%
15%
74%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
NOM
52%
21%
28%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COA
5 - 1
UOC
85%
10%
5%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
COA
3 - 1
CAS
11%
15%
75%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +4 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 7
COA
9%
13%
78%
|
22 | 5 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FCT
90%
7%
3%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
6 - 2
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
NSF
1 - 2
FCN
11%
16%
73%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CHR
4 - 0
NSF
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 2
FER
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |