Coastal Spirit vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
10º
6º
17
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
COA
2 - 1
EAS
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 3
COA
74%
14%
12%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 3
COA
38%
21%
41%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
COA
5 - 0
WSU
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
WES
6 - 2
COA
65%
18%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
CAS
27%
19%
54%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 4
NAP
25%
20%
55%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BIR
4 - 2
NAP
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 1
WEL
71%
16%
14%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EAS
2 - 2
NAP
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |