Coastal Spirit vs Green Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.7%
21.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
9º
3º
16
5º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
COA
92%
6%
3%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
COA
2 - 0
FCT
86%
9%
4%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 0
COA
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
COA
1 - 3
FER
63%
19%
19%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
COA
2 - 4
CAS
8%
11%
81%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Green Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
4 - 5
GIA
74%
14%
12%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
GIA
0 - 7
CAS
6%
10%
84%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 3
GIA
10%
14%
76%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
WNK
2 - 2
GIA
53%
20%
28%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
QPA
0 - 1
GIA
50%
20%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |