Coastal Spirit vs Christchurch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
5º
2º
41
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FER
0 - 3
COA
16%
18%
66%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HCF
3 - 3
COA
13%
15%
73%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
COA
2 - 0
NOM
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
COA
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 5
COA
21%
19%
61%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CHR
11 - 0
FCT
89%
8%
3%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
CHR
12%
15%
74%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
CHR
8%
12%
81%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 3
FER
84%
10%
6%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 2
CHR
15%
16%
68%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |