Coastal Spirit vs Christchurch United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+99%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
5º
2º
41
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FER
0 - 3
COA
16%
18%
66%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HCF
3 - 3
COA
13%
15%
73%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
COA
2 - 0
NOM
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 2
COA
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FER
3 - 5
COA
21%
19%
61%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Christchurch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CHR
11 - 0
FCT
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 6 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 3
CHR
12%
15%
74%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
CHR
8%
12%
81%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 3
FER
84%
10%
6%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 2
CHR
15%
16%
68%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |