Coalville Town vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coalville Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
HIT
2 - 2
COA
12%
19%
70%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
COA
1 - 1
STR
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 1
COA
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 3
COA
17%
20%
62%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
KIN
1 - 3
COA
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KIN
2 - 1
HED
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HED
1 - 3
LEI
32%
22%
47%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HED
4 - 2
STO
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
HED
2 - 2
BAR
49%
22%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HED
3 - 3
ROY
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |