CNI vs Total Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 1
CNI
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CNI
2 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 0
UNI
35%
31%
34%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 1
CNI
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
AYA
2 - 0
CNI
49%
28%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 0
TOT
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
ALI
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
HUA
0 - 0
TOT
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
ALI
3 - 0
TOT
40%
29%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 1
AYA
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |