CNI vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
26%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
AUR
4 - 1
CNI
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
CNI
2 - 0
BOL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
HUA
3 - 1
CNI
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CNI
2 - 0
VAL
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
SPC
2 - 0
CNI
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
SAM
33%
27%
41%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 2
MEL
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 2
AYA
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
TOT
3 - 2
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 2
CIE
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |