CNI vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 1
CNI
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CNI
2 - 0
ALI
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
CNI
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CNI
3 - 0
SBO
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 0
CNI
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 1
AUR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 0
CIE
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 0
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
COB
0 - 0
CIE
63%
23%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 1
AYA
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |