CNI vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CNI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 0
TOT
43%
29%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 1
CNI
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CNI
2 - 0
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CNI
1 - 0
UNI
35%
31%
34%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 1
CNI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 1
ALI
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
ALI
54%
25%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
SPC
0 - 1
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |