CSE vs Sete de Setembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
2 - 2
CSE
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
PEN
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 2
CSE
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
IPA
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
CRB
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Sete de Setembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
2 - 1
SSS
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 0
IPA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 2
CSE
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +4 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
SSS
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 1
IPA
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |