CSE vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 2
CSE
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
IPA
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
CRB
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
CSE
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
0 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 1
SSS
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 3
SSS
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
ASA
3 - 1
PEN
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | -1 |