CSE vs Penedense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
CSE
27%
23%
51%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
CSE
1 - 1
ATA
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CSA
3 - 1
CSE
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
CSE
3 - 2
CEO
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
CSE
1 - 0
CDV
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 2
COR
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ATA
3 - 2
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 2
ASA
11%
20%
70%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CRB
1 - 3
PEN
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
COR
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |