CSE vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
CSE
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
COR
1 - 4
CSE
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
CSE
2 - 2
CEO
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CDV
2 - 3
CSE
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
CSE
1 - 1
SAN
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 2
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
MUR
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ASA
1 - 0
MUR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 1
ASA
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +3 |