CSE vs Ipanema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 0
CRB
19%
24%
57%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
CSE
24%
26%
51%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CSE
0 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
CSE
27%
27%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 1
IPA
60%
21%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ipanema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
SSS
3 - 1
IPA
27%
22%
51%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 1
CSE
24%
26%
51%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 0
IPA
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
IPA
0 - 2
CSA
24%
29%
47%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 1
IPA
60%
21%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |