Alagoano Inicial Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 3-2
CSE vs Aliança AL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
15.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
AAL
1 - 1
CSE
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
CSA
3 - 0
CSE
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CSE
1 - 1
CSA
10%
20%
70%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
CSE
2 - 0
CSA
9%
20%
72%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
CSE
2 - 0
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Aliança AL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
AAL
1 - 1
CSE
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 1
AAL
84%
11%
5%
|
23 | 65 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
AAL
0 - 1
CRB
5%
12%
83%
|
23 | 65 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
COR
1 - 3
AAL
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
AAL
0 - 0
CSA
6%
14%
80%
|
21 | 66 | 45 | +1 |